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Uncertainty and risk : ment...
We all feel that our world is fundamentally uncertain. But less unanimity emerges as to what we mean by "uncertainty" and how we ought to adjust. Businessmen tend to be "cautious" and engineers to pick up the "right" decision criteria among the many available in the literature, without having much justification about their respective behaviors. This book tries to sort out the different meanings of uncertainty and to discover their foundations. It shows that uncertainty can be represented using various tools and mental guidelines. Some decision criteria are then related to each case and assessed. Alternative ways to deal with risk - and risk attitude concepts - are then examined in the above perspective. Behavior under uncertainty emerges from this book as something to base more on inquiry and reflection than on mere intuition
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monografia Rebiun22016568 https://catalogo.rebiun.org/rebiun/record/Rebiun22016568 m o d cr |n||||||||| 070511s2007 gw a ob 000 0 eng c 2007928747 191467318 272405378 288219180 318988212 422732972 607253769 613489748 648320721 732871332 739127334 746945588 756427495 880113977 1033547093 1035653067 1037063277 1039501885 1044311931 1047572716 1056395539 1058193290 1060679936 1060813254 1073063364 1078868067 3540489347 hbk.) 9783540489344 hbk.) 3540489355 ebook) 9783540489351 ebook) 9786611065881 6611065881 10.1007/978-3-540-48935-1 doi 978-3-540-48934-4 Springer http://www.springerlink.com COO eng pn COO YDXCP HNK W2U GW5XE NUI N$T CEF OCLCQ DAY MNU E7B UBC ISOBC IDEBK OCLCO EBLCP OCLCQ A7U OCLCQ OCLCF BEDGE DKDLA OCLCQ SLY OCLCQ DEBSZ OCLCQ Z5A OCLCQ ESU OCLCQ NLGGC VT2 OTZ EZ9 OCLCQ STF UAB OCLCQ U3W AU@ OCLCQ WYU ICG YOU CANPU pcc SCI 090000 bisacsh PSY 008000 bisacsh Uncertainty and risk mental, formal, experimental representations Mohammed Abdellaoui [and others], editors Berlin London Springer 2007 Berlin London Berlin London Springer 1 online resource (vi, 306 pages) illustrations 1 online resource (vi, 306 pages) Text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier text file PDF rda Theory and decision library. Series C, Game theory, mathematical programming, and operations research v. 41 Includes bibliographical references Conjectures, refutations and discoveries : incorporating new knowledge in models of belief and choice under uncertainty / S. Grant, J. Quiggan -- When an event makes a difference / M. Amarante, F. Maccheroni -- Countable additivity and the foundation of Bayesian statistics / J.V. Howard -- On the quantification and decomposition of uncertainty / E. Borgonovo, L. Peccati -- Preference for diversification with similarity considerations / A. Guerdjikova -- Uncertainty improves the second-best / H. Haller, S. Mousavi -- Lorenz meets rating but misses valuation / E. Camacho-Cuena, C. Seidl -- A deeper look at hyperbolic discounting / B. Sopher, A. Sheth -- 'Take-the-best' and other simple strategies : why and when they work 'well' with binary cues / R.M. Hogarth, N. Karelaia -- On generalized secretary problems / J.N. Bearden, R.O. Murphy -- Voting on alternatives or on criteria? The meta-decision on group decision procedures / N.P. Thomas -- Probabilistic risk analysis versus decision analysis : similarities, differences and illustrations / E. Pate-Cornell -- A conjoint measurement based rationale for inducing preferences / H. Grossman, M. Brocke, H. Holling -- Active search for probability information and recall performance : is probability an outstanding element in the mental representation of risky decisions? / O.W. Huber -- Evolutionary analysis of risk attitudes in competitive bidding environments using simulation / J. Sounderpandian -- Behavior in risky decisions : focus on risk defusing / O. Huber We all feel that our world is fundamentally uncertain. But less unanimity emerges as to what we mean by "uncertainty" and how we ought to adjust. Businessmen tend to be "cautious" and engineers to pick up the "right" decision criteria among the many available in the literature, without having much justification about their respective behaviors. This book tries to sort out the different meanings of uncertainty and to discover their foundations. It shows that uncertainty can be represented using various tools and mental guidelines. Some decision criteria are then related to each case and assessed. Alternative ways to deal with risk - and risk attitude concepts - are then examined in the above perspective. Behavior under uncertainty emerges from this book as something to base more on inquiry and reflection than on mere intuition English Uncertainty Risk-taking (Psychology) Decision making SCIENCE- Cognitive Science PSYCHOLOGY- Cognitive Psychology Uncertainty Risk-taking (Psychology) Decision making Affaires Science économique Economie de l'entreprise Decision making Risk-taking (Psychology) Uncertainty Onzekerheid Risico nemen Risicoanalyse Besliskunde Besluitvorming Electronic books Abdellaoui, Mohammed Print version Uncertainty and risk. Berlin ; London : Springer, 2007 3540489347 9783540489344 (OCoLC)74969536 Theory and decision library. Series C Game theory, mathematical programming, and operations research v. 41